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Risk management

Just a seasonal swing?

US natural gas market volatility is keeping trading volume high. But is this just a seasonal phenomenon or part of a long-term trend? Catherine Lacoursiere reports

Getting it together

The US Committee of Chief Risk Officers is proposing an energy data hub to improve price transparency in the natural gas market, but index publisher Platts is concerned over some aspects of the initiative. Joe Marsh reports

Staying one step ahead

Picking the right investment opportunities will never be a precise science, but a combination of global forecasting and risk management has enabled US Global Investors to become one of the most successful US mutual funds in the energy space. Its chief…

Strategies for success

To succeed in the fast-changing US gas market requires an effective hedging and risk-management strategy. Accenture’s Alexander Landia , Paul Equale and Julie Adams look at what firms need to do to win in this key market

The dragon’s revenge

In the second article on the pitfalls of hedging, Neil Palmer considers one of the risks of managing options: dynamic hedging. He shows there is an awful lot that can go wrong in the quest for perfect risk elimination

Valuing interruptus

Managing wholesale spot power price volatility by turning off supply offers a way of reducing price spikes, but measuring the value of such interruptibility involves costly modelling techniques. JK Winsen suggests a simpler alternative

The ABC of PCA

Often, the costs associated with implementing advanced statistical models can outweigh the potential benefits. Brett Humphreys shows how to smooth and speed up choppy simulations using principal components analysis

Commodity kickers

Retail investors are showing greater interest in commodity-linked products. but most of the structures launched in Europe so far have been based on small, tailor-made baskets. By Patrick Fletcher

DrKW launches retail carbon product

Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein has paved the way for private investors to gain exposure to the carbon emissions market with a new securitised product.

Peaking patterns

Weather is increasingly affecting power market dynamics, with prices as variableas the temperatures. But the volatility has spawned a growing variety of methodsofmanaging peak load demand. By Catherine Lacoursiere

Contract killers

Hidden risks can lurk in unexpected areas – such as the contracting process. Brett Humphreys and Brett Friedman discuss how risk managers must look beyondsimple value-at-risk measures and find other potentially hidden exposures

Slaying the dragon

In the first of a two-part series on hedging risk, NeilPalmer looks at the effectsof imperfect correlation on basis risk, and finds that unless you have a perfecthedge, you may just have to learn to live with risk

All bases covered

In 1997, Norwegian energy firm Statoil implemented an enterprise-wide risk management system with the help of Goldman Sachs. Eight years on, few energy companies can rival its approach. Joe Marsh discovers why

Tentative steps

Algeria’s state-owned oil company Sonatrach is about to become the first oil and gas company within Opec to roll out an independent risk management programme to cover its crude oil and gas sales. Stella Farrington reports

Answers in the wind

Project valuation means making calculated assumptions that aren’t always accurate. Brett Humphreys discusses the assumptions that may be embedded within a valuation and how these assumptions can affect the final value

Both sides of the fence

Ernst Eberlein and Gerhard Stahl analyse price series of 25 energy spotrates simultaneously using Lévy models. This model class allows thecapture of stochastic behaviour of these financial instruments.Theimplications of this analysis will form the…

Turbulent times

The new Renewable Sources Act obliges German utility companies to buy all the wind power generated in the country on any one day. And it is adding a new volatility to the German power market. By Stella Farrington

Germany’s closed shop

Despite six years of liberalisation, Germany’s gas market is still virtually closed to outside competition. Writing from Germany, Stella Farrington looks at whether new regulation is finally about to bring change

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