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Risk management

A matter of principal

Developing term structure models can be tricky, as unknown factors and non-observable variables can affect futures prices. But principal components analysis is useful in tackling these problems. Here, Delphine Lautier uses PCA to pin down price movements…

Credit in the limelight

Today's business climate is pushing credit risk higher up the risk management agenda, as our Energy Credit Risk conference in New York showed. Stella Farrington reviews the event

Top of the agenda

Energy Risk's inaugural risk management survey reveals what you consider the biggest challenges, greatest fears and chief problems facing risk managers today, and what changes you would like to see in the future

The right of refusal

Traders have learned that giving away free financial options can be costly. However, free options can take many forms. Brett Humphreys and Tamara Weinert discuss the value of a risk management option that can easily be given away

Decisions, decisions

Where next for the price of a barrel of oil? It’s an important question for producers and consumers, for whom managing oil price risk has never been more crucial. Oliver Holtaway finds that the answer to that question is not necessarily ‘up’.

Doctor’s orders

Should you try to hedge a physical asset by simply selling its expected output? Neil Palmer shows how, in some scenarios, either under- or over-hedging could make more sense

The hedging effect

The effect of hedging on a project’s net present value can be difficult to determine. Brett Humphreys shows how different types of hedging affect the distribution and the expected return of a project

Taking the screen test

Screen trading is spreading faster than ever in the energy markets and market dynamics are changing as a result. Do interdealer brokers in the market see this advance as a threat or an opportunity? Stella Farrington finds out

Raising the standard

Growth in energy trading has led to a need for better standardisation of contracts and integration of exchanges and trading hubs. But more needs to be done to simplify and streamline the trading process, says Wolfgang Ferse

Trading routes open

The coal and dry bulk shipping markets are tightly intertwined and the strong influence of each on the other provides some interesting arbitrage opportunities, which are starting to draw wider attention, writes Barry Parker

Coal facing changes

Coal derivatives trading is gaining popularity among coal consumers, producers and financial institutions in Europe, according to a recent survey of market players. Cyriel de Jong and Kasper Walet discuss the study’s results

A disciplined approach

E&P companies tend not to strategically hedge in a rising market. But there are good reasons for them to do so, and some are sticking to their hedging strategies, despite suffering losses on their derivatives contracts. By Joe Marsh

Pieces of a puzzle

To get enterprise-wide risk management to work, a firm needs to piece together the right models, processes and software – and the right attitude. US utility Allegheny Energy has done just that, finds Oliver Holtaway

Understanding Sam

The Samuelson Effect – backwardation in the term structure of forward volatility – can lead to valuation inaccuracies. In capturing the Samuelson Effect in energy derivatives valuation, analysts have tried both historical approaches and those that rely…

Hoodwinked!

Have you got a good grip on your view of volatility and correlation? Neil Palmer shows that, thanks to ever -present measurement errors, even the steadiest markets can throw up big surprises

Great expectations?

Risk and expectation are two sides of the same coin. But could you quantify your own risk appetite? explores some ways to put a price tag on those hazards you can’t avoid Neil Palmer

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