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Market risk

Europe - An uncertain future

European natural gas demand is expected to rise in the next three decades. But, as Anouk Honore finds, the overall picture is not easy to predict, and depends on what happens in individual countries - particularly Italy and Spain

Prepay agreements - The ten-year pitch

Standard & Poor's recently passed the $1 billion mark in terms of natural gas prepayment deals it has rated since 2003. Joe Marsh looks at how these work and why municipal utilities might want to consider them

Coal turns a corner

Asian coal-trading is still proving a tough nut to crack. But the underlying market is developing, and a growing need for better risk management suggests it is only a matter of time before a paper market takes off

BarCap takes on Duke trading book

Barclays Capital will acquire and manage the bulk of Duke Energy North America’s (DENA) power and gas derivatives contracts, as part of parent Duke Energy Corp’s takeover of US utility Cinergy.

Nice price for Ice as exchange floats

Atlanta-based energy-trading platform IntercontinentalExchange (Ice) hit the ground running as a public company today, pricing at $26 per share – at the top of its $24-$26 target range.

Utilities shift towards longer-term hedging

US and Canadian regulated utilities are increasingly looking to put on longer-term hedges, even more than three years out in some cases. Such was one of the findings of an informal survey of the audience at a utility risk-management conference in Chicago…

Powernext launches weather indexes

French electricity exchange Powernext – in partnership with Météo France (the French meteorological office) – today started offering national European temperature indexes.

Counting on coal

NRG Energy's move to buy Texas Genco seems a wise one for a company with strong dark-spread exposure, but it has its risks, despite the target company being backed by an active hedging programme. Joe Marsh reports

Papering over the cracks

High energy prices are forcing pulp-and-paper makers to take action against falling profits, yet most companies are still shying away from energy price hedging. But that situation may be slowly changing. Joe Marsh reports

Top tips and dirty tricks

You don't have to be a genius to work as a quant - though it helps - but you do have to know a few tricks of the trade. So where should aspiring energy quants start? Neil Palmer offers some suggestions

A matter of principal

Developing term structure models can be tricky, as unknown factors and non-observable variables can affect futures prices. But principal components analysis is useful in tackling these problems. Here, Delphine Lautier uses PCA to pin down price movements…

Playing power games

Thanks to increasing consolidation, it seems the country-specific energy exchange will soon be a thing of the past in Europe. But is this level of competition premature?

Congestion charges

As the US' premier regional transmission organisation, PJM Interconnection's pricing and transmission congestion models must be foolproof. Sandy Fielden describes how they work and the associated risk management mechanisms available to participants

The right of refusal

Traders have learned that giving away free financial options can be costly. However, free options can take many forms. Brett Humphreys and Tamara Weinert discuss the value of a risk management option that can easily be given away

Regulating Germany

Matthias Kurth was appointed Germany's first energy regulator in June of this year. The decisions he makes as the new Federal Network Agency president will be felt throughout European energy markets. He speaks to Oliver Holtaway

Carbon complexities

The EU ETS adds price complexity to European energy markets and the trend towards pan-European markets means far more complex models will be needed to model carbon risk, writes Bjorn Brochmann

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