Cutting edge: Electricity contract risk with portfolio effects
This paper is concerned with the financial risk associated with commercial electricity contracts. Many firms participating in the electricity market, including the one at which the author is employed, have large portfolios of electricity contracts. The associated risk of these contracts needs to be quantifed. We discuss the risk of a single contract in isolation and then the marginal risk it contributes to an existing portfolio of electricity contracts.
Uncertainty in demand/supply volume is
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