BAML: Iraq poses risk to oil outlook
BAML says while Iraq has the potential to vastly expand productive capacity, the Iraqi government's stated intention to increase oil capacity from 2.5 to 10-12 million barrels per day (b/d) over the next decade is "very optimistic and we remain sceptical that such increases can be achieved".
However, BAML says, ‘still, a four-fold increase in Iraqi production could be sufficient to keep oil prices from rising above $100 per barrel (/bbl) for much of this decade.'
The US Energy Information
More on Oil & refined products
A Hormuz tipping point may be days away
Agent-based model suggests delays and shortages likely to accelerate after four weeks
Energy Risk reaction: Impact of Middle East conflict on hedging and longer term risk
Energy Risk talks to Riccardo Rossi at Centrica Energy and Rob McLeod at Hartree Partners about the impact of the Iran crisis so far on firms exposed to energy
Iran strikes a stress test for CCP margin models
CME’s Span2 and Ice’s IRM2 are performing as advertised. The next few days could test their mettle
Energy Risk reaction: Venezuela and oil sanctions
Energy Risk talks to Rob McLeod at Hartree Partners about the energy risk implications of the US’s control of Venezuelan oil
Energy Risk Europe Leaders’ Network: geopolitical risk
Energy Risk’s European Leaders’ Network had its first meeting in November to discuss the risks posed to energy firms by recent geopolitical developments
US shutdown leaves commodity traders without key data
Commodity traders are ‘flying blind’ without Commitment of Traders reports
Energy Risk at 30: Learning from the past
Energy Risk looks back at the seminal events and developments that have shaped today’s energy markets
Why Iran tensions failed to rattle markets
Despite initial fears, traders say risks were signposted and investors had deleveraged after April