Oil
Cutting edge: Valuation of spread commodity structures
In this paper, Dan Mahoney and Krzysztof Wolyniec show that in co-integrated (mean-reverting) futures markets, active dynamic hedging is required to realise the quadratic variation of the underlying spread process. Using static hedges/portfolios yields…
Refiners step up hedging activity
Refineries in Europe have stepped up their hedging activity in recent months as they take advantage of a recovery in margins, market participants say
Risk & Energy Risk – 2012 Commodity Rankings – energy
After a rollercoaster year in the markets, Morgan Stanley seized the top spot in the 2012 Risk and Energy Risk Commodity Rankings, while its traditional rival, Goldman Sachs, slipped to number two. Alexander Osipovich reports. With additional reporting…
Managing geopolitical risk in energy markets
The increasing influence of geopolitical risk on energy markets is forcing risk managers to reassess their risk management strategies around such event-type risk, finds Gillian Carr
Analysts upbeat on outlook for Saudi Aramco’s new trading unit
Saudi Aramco’s new trading unit, Aramco Trading, could become a serious competitor in the refined product space and boost volumes at the Dubai Mercantile Exchange, say analysts
Keystone XL pipeline decision leaves Canada looking eastward
The US rejection of TransCanada’s proposed Keystone XL pipeline will hinder the development of the Alberta oil sands, while making the option of exporting crude to Asia more attractive for Canada, analysts say
Marginal oil gaining market share, setting higher floor price
Marginal oil, with its greater risks and higher cost of production, will exert more influence on oil prices as it moves to becoming 10% of global supply by 2035. Gillian Carr reports
Energy experts debate merits of speculators and position limits
CFTC and Goldman Sachs executives discuss role of speculators in commodities markets during times of volatility
Jet fuel demand seen picking up
Recent years have not been kind to aviation, but with a recovery in demand taking place in 2010 and bullish projections for this year and the next, the future for jet fuel demand appears to be looking brighter. By Samuel Fenwick
Acer to issue guidelines to clarify Remit definition problems, says Pototschnig
The head of the Agency for the Cooperation of Energy Regulators says new non-binding guidance will appear shortly after the Remit regulation is published in the EU's official journal
Energy Risk Europe: eurozone sovereign debt fears could exacerbate oil supply problems, says Currie
Fears that the sovereign debt crisis will lead to global financial shock is causing oil producers to reduce inventory and cut back investment – creating a potential supply problem in future, warns Goldman Sachs commodities research head
Energy Risk Asia Awards 2011
Energy Risk's Asia awards 2011
Brazil energy appeals to investors but many hurdles remain
Brazil’s expected rise as a major global energy supplier has been one of the biggest stories of the past decade. Although one of the most politically stable emerging market economies, doing business there is still fraught with difficulties. Alex Davis…
Oil price outlook
Oil prices are expected to remain well supported into next year, according to an Energy Risk survey of analysts, which would provide a good opportunity for consumers to begin to hedge their forward oil exposure but make producer hedging look less…
The rise of sovereign commodity risk management
The unprecedented commodity price volatility of the past four years has led to a surge of interest from governments in risk management strategies. Investment banks are in talks with sovereigns worldwide on setting up financial hedges, and say uptake is…
Non-bank commodity traders should adopt Fed letter commitments, says BP executive
BP's Alan Haywood says non-banks need to consider Fed letter commitments for the good of the industry
Carbon tax here to stay: Alberta energy minister
Alberta, Canada, home to the world’s third largest oil reserves, will await further federal government moves before upping its own emissions limits or developing a carbon cap-and-trade scheme
Are Canadian oil sands setting a new crude oil floor price?
Canadian oil sands are set to have a greater role in the global energy mix, but whether they will set the floor for world oil prices will depend on a variety of factors
Commodity trading data leak relights speculation debate
Leaked US CFTC data on commodity market positions in the run-up to 2008’s record oil price spike has fanned the flames of the long-running speculation debate. Pauline McCallion reports
Shifting towards specialism will provide integrated oil companies with best returns says AT Kearney
Optimum shareholder value in the oil and gas sector is likely to come from a specialist approach rather than the traditional integrated oil company model, according to a recent report by management consulting firm AT Kearney
Cat product to transfer oil spill risk to capital markets
Catastrophe product looks to capitalise on perceived investor appetite for oil spill risk
US oil and gas M&A at $39 billion
Merger and acquisition (M&A) activity in the oil and gas sector registered a rise in average deal value, according to a PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) report