Valuation
Falling margins force energy firms to expand data use
Verification and model challenges arise as volatility and margins dry up
Robust valuation and hedging of tolling agreements and physical assets
Krzysztof Wolyniec shows how very robust valuation bounds of tolling agreements can be obtained without modelling the dispatch process or the underlying price process. This flexible method, which uses martingale duality, provides a reliable valuation…
Cutting edge: Valuation and optimal hedging of storage contracts in incomplete gas markets
In this paper, Magnus Wobben, Tilman Huhne, Yuri Ivanov and Sebastian Hanneken examine the impact of market incompleteness on the valuation of gas storage contracts. In contrast to prior research, their proposed valuation framework accounts for the…
Cutting edge: Electricity contract risk with portfolio effects
The incremental risk of including electricity contracts in a portfolio is computed by George Levy using a Monte Carlo regime-switching approach. The volume and price processes are modelled using empirical distributions and correlation is captured via a…
Cutting edge: Correlation functions in the crude oil and natural gas futures markets
Given the importance of the crude oil and natural gas futures markets, the intra-market correlations in these markets play an important role in pricing, hedging and managing the risks of energy portfolios. This paper by Ehud Ronn contributes to the…